Americans think they need almost $1.5 million to retire. Experts say to focus on another number instead (2024)

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When it comes to retirement, Americans have a new number in mind — $1.46 million — for how much they think they will need to live comfortably, according to new research from Northwestern Mutual.

That estimate is up 53% since 2020, when Americans said they would need $951,000, as the cost of living has surged in recent years. It is also up 15% from last year, when respondents said they would need $1.27 million.

For many savers, that goal may sound daunting, particularly as U.S. adults have an average of $88,400 currently saved toward retirement, the study found. Likewise, a recent CNBC survey showed that 53% of Americans feel like they are behind on their retirement savings.

However, experts say having a "magic number" in mind should not be a priority when planning for your retirement.

"The number isn't the emphasis," said John Roland, a certified financial planner and private wealth advisor at Northwestern Mutual's Beyond Financial Advisors.

"That retirement number is really just a starting point for a broader conversation on how to make clear, competent decisions in that phase of your financial life when you're distributing money versus when you're accumulating money," he said.

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Fidelity Investments, the nation's largest provider of 401(k) savings plans, has moved away from providing broad estimates for what is needed to retire, said Rita Assaf, vice president of retirement products at Fidelity.

"There is no one size fits all," Assaf said.

She said your income likely differs from other people's. Other factors — such as how much of your income you hope to replace in retirement, where you plan to live, the lifestyle you plan to have, your health-care costs, and longevity — will all impact the actual number you will need.

"It really depends on your personal situation," Assaf said. "We do think having a retirement plan helps with that, but it's got to be a personal retirement plan."

The number experts say to focus on

Financial advisors agree that having a high savings rate, along with appropriate asset allocations, is one of the most significant components of building wealth. That's the number to focus on, they say.

Fidelity provides a framework for evaluating your retirement savings progress based on your age.

The framework includes saving your salary by age 30, which then increases to twice your salary by age 35, three times by 40 and continues to go up until the goal of 10 times by age 67.

"That may or may not be feasible depending on where you're at," Assaf said of the savings goals. "But it just gives an easier view of what to do."

The framework assumes that the investor will start saving at age 25 and save 15% annually.

Americans think they need almost $1.5 million to retire. Experts say to focus on another number instead (1)

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Recent retirement research from Vanguard recommends that workers ramp up their annual retirement savings rate to 12% to 15% of their incomes and invest in an appropriate asset mix for their ages. Doing so can help improve their sustainable investment rate — the highest level of pre-retirement income they can replace.

"I would much rather have clients that save 15% of their income and get a 5% rate of return than save 1% of their income and get a 15% rate of return," Roland said.

He said that to save money, you need not spend it, a concept emphasized in the book "The Millionaire Next Door."

"Many people who have significant wealth, you would never know because they don't look visibly wealthy," Roland said.

"Those are the people that, as they save and accumulate wealth, oftentimes have accumulated more than they ever anticipated," he said.

If setting your retirement savings deferral rate to 15% now feels like too much of a financial stretch, you may instead try to boost your contributions by 1% per year. Experts say incremental increases can make a big difference in the long run.

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Americans think they need almost $1.5 million to retire. Experts say to focus on another number instead (2024)

FAQs

Americans think they need almost $1.5 million to retire. Experts say to focus on another number instead? ›

Americans think they need almost $1.5 million to retire. Experts say to focus on another number instead. Americans' “magic number” savings goal for retirement has increased by over 50% since 2020. But experts say the secret to building true wealth is having a high savings rate.

Do you actually need $1.46 million to retire comfortably? ›

In the federal survey, the typical senior who reported a satisfactory retirement had $50,000 to $100,000 in savings. “It's impossible to find any evidence that seniors need even a fraction of $1.46 million in savings to be financially secure,” Biggs wrote.

What percentage of Americans retire with $1000000? ›

According to the Federal Reserve's latest Survey of Consumer Finances, only about 10% of American retirees have managed to save $1 million or more. This leaves a significant 90% who fall short of this milestone.

What is the magic number for retirement savings? ›

Here's how much you would need to put into a retirement account each month, starting at different ages, to reach the $1.46 million “magic number” by age 65, according to Northwestern Mutual's “Planning & Progress Study 2024.” Figures are based on a 7 percent average return compounded daily.

How much do experts suggest the average American should save for retirement? ›

Experts recommend saving 10% to 15% of your income each year, but you can calculate a more personalized goal in four simple steps.

Is $3,000,000 enough to retire at 65? ›

Summary. $3 million should be more than enough to fund your retirement, even if you choose to retire early. A number of factors are at play when determining how long $3 million will last, including your investment strategy and retirement lifestyle.

Is $4,000,000 enough to retire at 55? ›

Following this guidance, you could safely withdraw between $132,000 and $160,000 from your $4 million portfolio at age 55. That's more than three times the $42,842 that an average 55-year-old would need, suggesting your $4 million nest egg will be more than enough.

What is considered wealthy in retirement? ›

Super wealthy (99th percentile): $16.7 million. Wealthy (95th percentile): $3.2 million. Well off (90th percentile): $1.9 million. Middle class (50th percentile): $281,000.

How much does the average 75 year old have in savings? ›

Savings by Age
AgeAverage Account BalanceMedian Account Balance
45 to 54$48,200$6,400
55 to 64$57,670$5,620
65 to 74$60,410$8,000
75 and older$55,320$9,300
2 more rows
Sep 19, 2023

How much wealth does the average American retire with? ›

Typical Net Worth at Retirement
Age RangeMedian Net WorthAverage Net Worth
55-64$212,500$1,175,900
65-74$266,400$1,217,700
75+$254,800$977,600
Oct 5, 2023

What is the 7% rule for retirement? ›

What is the 7 Percent Rule? In contrast to the more conservative 4% rule, the 7 percent rule suggests retirees can withdraw 7% of their total retirement corpus in the first year of retirement, with subsequent annual adjustments for inflation.

What is the golden rule of retirement savings? ›

Retirement may seem like a distant dream, but it's never too early or too late to start planning. The “golden rule” suggests saving at least 15% of your pre-tax income, but with each individual's financial situation being unique, how can you be sure you're on the right track?

What is the 3 rule in retirement? ›

In some cases, it can decline for months or even years. As a result, some retirees like to use a 3 percent rule instead to reduce their risk further. A 3 percent withdrawal rate works better with larger portfolios. For instance, using the above numbers, a 3 percent rule would mean withdrawing just $22,500 per year.

How much does Dave Ramsey say you need to retire? ›

Some folks will need $10 million to have the kind of retirement lifestyle they've always dreamed about. Others can comfortably live out their golden years with a $1 million nest egg. There's no right or wrong answer here—it all depends on how you want to live in retirement!

What is the average 401k balance at age 65? ›

$232,710

What percentage of retirees have $1 million dollars? ›

In fact, statistically, around 10% of retirees have $1 million or more in savings. The majority of retirees, however, have far less saved.

How much money do you think you ll actually need to retire comfortably? ›

By age 40, you should have accumulated three times your current income for retirement. By retirement age, it should be 10 to 12 times your income at that time to be reasonably confident that you'll have enough funds. Seamless transition — roughly 80% of your pre-retirement income.

Is $1500000 enough for a couple to retire? ›

The 4% rule suggests that a $1.5 million portfolio will provide for at least 30 years approximately $60,000 a year before taxes for you to live on in retirement. If you take more than this from your nest egg, it may run short; if you take less or your investments earn more, it may provide somewhat more income.

Can a person retire comfortably with 1 million dollars? ›

How long will $1 million in retirement savings last? In more than 20 U.S. states, a million-dollar nest egg can cover retirees' living expenses for at least 20 years, a new analysis shows.

Is a net worth of $3 million enough to retire? ›

Consider a 5% reduction in spending from pre-retirement levels, accounting for taxes and Social Security benefits. For a $3 million retirement fund, anticipate a monthly income of $6,250 over 40 years, barring investment growth or loss.

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