5 Things to Invest in When a Recession Hits (2024)

5 Things to Invest in When a Recession Hits (1)

When the market is soaring, it’s easy to forget that what goes up can also come down.But economic slowdowns tend to be cyclical, which means that another recessionis in the future. Whether it’s fast-approaching or still a ways off, it’s wise to prepare for its eventuality. This way, you won’t join the panicking stampede out of stocks and into cash. Instead, you’ll remember that stocks can perform even during a recession – you just need to know which ones. A financial advisorcan help you build an investing plan with a recession in mind.

1. Seek Out Core Sector Stocks.

During a recession, you might be inclined to give up on stocks, but experts say it’s best not to flee equities completely. When the rest of the economy is on shaky ground, there are often a handful of sectors that continue to forge ahead and provide investors with steady returns.

So if you want to insulate yourself during a recession partly with stocks, consider investing in the healthcare, utilities and consumer goods sectors. People are still going to spend money on medical care, household items, electricity and food, regardless of the state of the economy. As a result, these stocks tend to do well during busts (and underperform during booms).

2. Focus on Reliable Dividend Stocks.

Investing in dividend stocks can be a great way to generate passive income. When you’re comparing dividend stocks, some experts say it’s a good idea to look for companies with low debt-to-equity ratiosandstrong balance sheets. If you don’t know where to start, you may want tolook into dividend aristocrats. These are companies that have increased their dividend payouts for at least 25 consecutive years.

3. Consider Buying Real Estate.

5 Things to Invest in When a Recession Hits (2)

The 2008 housing market collapse was a nightmare for homeowners. However, it turned out to be a boon for some real estate investors. When a recession hits and home values drop, it may be a buying opportunity for investment properties. If you can rent out a property to a reliable tenant, you’ll have a steady stream of income while you ride out the recession. Once real estate values start to rise again, you can sell at a profit.

4. Purchase Precious Metal Investments.

Precious metals, like gold or silver, tend to perform well during market slowdowns. But since the demand for these kinds of commodities often increases during recessions, their prices usually go up too. You can invest in precious metals in a few different ways. The most straightforward route is buying coins or bars from a seller or coin dealer. While this is different than buying security, it’s technically as good as any other option.

If you’re more interested in buying precious metal securities, turn your attention to ETFs. These funds are collections of investments within a single industry, which, in this case, is the precious metal market. You could also purchase a gold IRAif you’re saving specifically for retirement.

5. “Invest” in Yourself.

If you lose your job and income during a recession, you can rebound by “investing in yourself.” You could go back to school to gain additional knowledge or skills that could help you get a better job.

Paying down debt is another option if you worry that your job situation might go south at some point. The less money you have to spend on bills, the less stressed you’ll feel during an economic crisis.

Are We Currently in a Recession?

Although the term “recession” is thrown around quite a bit, its actual definition comes from theNational Bureau of Economic Research or NBER. According to its website, the NBER defines a recession as “a significant decline in economic activity that is spread across the economy and lasts more than a few months.” Thus, the NBER is the official institution that determines if the country has actually entered a recession.

As of Feb. 2023, the NBER does not consider the U.S. to be in the midst of a recession. In fact, it hasn’t declared a recession since the 2008-2009 housing crisis. The NBER determines this through a myriad of factors that involve analysis across a wide range of sectors within economic markets. It also accounts for citizen-level data points, like unemployment and personal income.

Bottom Line

5 Things to Invest in When a Recession Hits (3)

If you’re investing for the long term, a looming recession shouldn’t panic you. You may want to offload some investments to take some profits off the table. But for the most part, your strategy should not be to sell when prices are low. You may think you’ll get back in when prices stop falling, but it’s impossible to call a bottom until it passes.

Instead, you should hold the positions that you entered as long-term investments. That said, if you have the cash to invest, you may want to consider buying recession-friendly sectors such as consumer staples, utilities and healthcare. Stocks that have been paying a dividend for many years are also a good choice. These tend to be long-established companies that can withstand a downturn.

Tips for Smart Investing

  • If you’re unsure of how to build a portfolio that accounts for a recession, a financial advisor can help.Finding a financial advisor doesn’t have to be hard. SmartAsset’s free toolmatches you with up to three vetted financial advisors who serve your area, and you can have a free introductory call with your advisor matches to decide which one you feel is right for you. If you’re ready to find an advisor who can help you achieve your financial goals, get started now.
  • A recession has the potential to bring serious losses. That’s why any investing plan starts with understanding how much risk you can tolerate. SmartAsset’sasset allocation calculator considers your risk tolerance to guide you to the optimal portfolio.

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5 Things to Invest in When a Recession Hits (2024)

FAQs

What is the best asset to hold during a recession? ›

Still, here are seven types of investments that could position your portfolio for resilience if recession is on your mind:
  • Defensive sector stocks and funds.
  • Dividend-paying large-cap stocks.
  • Government bonds and top-rated corporate bonds.
  • Treasury bonds.
  • Gold.
  • Real estate.
  • Cash and cash equivalents.
Nov 30, 2023

What goes up when recession hits? ›

Purchase Precious Metal Investments.

Precious metals, like gold or silver, tend to perform well during market slowdowns. But since the demand for these kinds of commodities often increases during recessions, their prices usually go up too. You can invest in precious metals in a few different ways.

Where is your money safest during a recession? ›

Where to put money during a recession. Putting money in savings accounts, money market accounts, and CDs keeps your money safe in an FDIC-insured bank account (or NCUA-insured credit union account). Alternatively, invest in the stock market with a broker.

Is it better to have cash or property in a recession? ›

Cash. Cash is an important asset when it comes to a recession. After all, if you do end up in a situation where you need to pull from your assets, it helps to have a dedicated emergency fund to fall back on, especially if you experience a layoff.

What not to buy during a recession? ›

Most stocks and high-yield bonds tend to lose value in a recession, while lower-risk assets—such as gold and U.S. Treasuries—tend to appreciate. Within the stock market, shares of large companies with solid cash flows and dividends tend to outperform in downturns.

How to profit from a recession? ›

What businesses are profitable in a recession? Many investors turn to stocks in companies that sell consumer staples like health care, food and beverages, and personal hygiene products. These businesses typically remain profitable during recessions and their share prices tend to better resist stock market sell-offs.

Who gets hit first in a recession? ›

The jobs that are the “first to go” when a recession hits are the ones that depend on consumer spending and people having copious disposable income, says Kory Kantenga, a senior economist at LinkedIn. Retail, restaurants, hotels and real estate are some of the businesses often hurt during a recession.

What is the best stock to buy during a recession? ›

The best recession stocks include consumer staples, utilities and healthcare stocks. Consumers can't do without these companies, no matter how bad the economy gets.

What food to buy during a recession? ›

store-brand oatmeal, for example — you give yourself the opportunity to not only save money, but also get more nutrition per dollar. Shopping for whole foods and staples instead of prepared foods and convenience items can save you money, but you'll need to be prepared to spend more time in the kitchen.

Is it better to have cash or money in bank during recession? ›

Cash delivers safety in troubled times. Experts recommend keeping three to six months' worth of cash to cover living expenses when people lose their jobs. For businesses, maintaining liquidity through a recession can making the difference between shutting the doors or surviving the downturn.

What are the two most valuable assets in a time of crisis? ›

Typically at the onset of a crisis, investors usually decide to move their investments to sectors, industries, and asset classes that are considered to be “safe”. These include technology, utilities, consumer staples, and gold.

What stocks do worst in a recession? ›

Equity Sectors

On the negative side, energy and infrastructure stocks have been the hardest-hit in recent recessions. Companies in these sectors are acutely sensitive to swings in demand. Financials stocks also can suffer during recessions because of a rising default rate and shrinking net interest margins.

Can you lose money in a savings account during a recession? ›

Your money is safe in a bank, even during an economic decline like a recession. Up to $250,000 per depositor, per account ownership category, is protected by the FDIC or NCUA at a federally insured financial institution. What happens if my bank fails during a recession?

What property to buy during a recession? ›

Rental Properties

Unless you have cash on hand or are willing to take on additional debt during a recession, properties that need minimal improvements and have long-standing tenants tend to have less risk. However, buying a discount fixer-upper and turning it into a rental is almost always good.

How much cash should you hold in a recession? ›

GOBankingRates consulted quite a few finance experts and asked them this question. They all said the same thing: You need three to six months' worth of living expenses in an easily accessible savings account. The exact amount of cash needed depends on one's income tier and cost of living.

Where does money go during a recession? ›

During recessions, one of the primary culprits responsible for money vanishing into thin air is the collapse of banks. As financial institutions crumble under the weight of bad loans and dwindling assets, they often go belly up, taking the money entrusted to them along for the ride.

Are stocks or bonds better in a recession? ›

Bonds tend to be less volatile and generally outperform stocks during a recession. A bond is essentially a loan. Whether you get your investment back depends on the issuing entity repaying that loan. “Bonds, such as Treasurys, corporate bonds and municipal bonds, have contractual cash flows,” Kowalski says.

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