How Do I Calculate Stock Value Using the Gordon Growth Model in Excel? (2024)

How Do I Calculate Stock Value Using the Gordon Growth Model in Excel?

The Gordon growth model (GGM), or the dividend discount model (DDM), is a model used to calculate the intrinsic value of a stock based on the present value of future dividends that grow at a constant rate.

The model assumes a company exists forever and pays dividends that increase at a constant rate. It has advantages as well as disadvantages.

To estimate the value of a stock, the model takes the infinite series of dividends per share and discounts them back into the present using the required rate of return. The result is a simple formula, which is based on the mathematical properties of an infinite series of numbers growing at a constant rate.

Key Takeaways

  • The Gordon growth model calculates a stock's intrinsic value.
  • The model bases the intrinsic value of stocks on the present value of future dividends that grow at a constant rate.
  • Doing the calculation in Excel is simple, as you enter only five numbers into Excel cells.
  • The Gordon growth model is also known as the dividend discount model (DDM).

Understanding the Gordon Growth Model

The intrinsic value of astock can be found using the formula (which is based on mathematical properties of an infinite series of numbers growing at a constant rate):

Intrinsicvalue of stock = D1 / (k - g)

D1 is the dividend per share one year from now, k is the investor's required rate of return, and g is the expected dividend growth rate.

How to Calculate Intrinsic Value Using Excel

Using the Gordon growth model to find intrinsic value is fairly simple to calculate in Microsoft Excel.

To get started, set up the following in an Excel spreadsheet:

  1. Enter "stock price" into cell A2
  2. Next, enter "current dividend" into cell A3.
  3. Then, enter the "expected dividend in one year" into cell A4.
  4. In cell A5, enter "constant growth rate."
  5. Enter "Required Rate of Return" in cell A6.

For example, suppose you are looking at stock ABC and want to figure out the intrinsic value of it. Assume you know the growth rate in dividends and also know the value of the current dividend.

The current dividend is $0.60 per share, the constant growth rate is 6%, and your required rate of return is 22%.

To determine the intrinsic value, plug the values from the example above into Excel as follows:

  1. Enter $0.60 into cell B3.
  2. Enter 6%into cell B5.
  3. Enter 22% into cell B6.
  4. Now, you need to find the expected dividend in one year. In cell B4, enter "=B3*(1+B5)," which gives you 0.64 for the expected dividend, one year from the present day.
  5. Finally, you can now find the value of the intrinsic price of the stock. In cell B2, enter "=B4/(B6-B5)."

The current intrinsic value of the stock ABC in thisexample is $3.98 per share.

How Do I Calculate Stock Value Using the Gordon Growth Model in Excel? (2024)

FAQs

How do you calculate stock price as per GGM? ›

The formula for the Gordon Growth Model is P = D / (r - g), where P is the intrinsic value of the stock, D is the expected dividend payment, r is the required rate of return, and g is the expected growth rate of dividends.

What is the formula for Gordon Growth Model valuation? ›

Gordon Growth Model Share Price Calculation

The formula consists of taking the DPS in the period by (Required Rate of Return – Expected Dividend Growth Rate). For example, the value per share in Year is calculated using the following equation: Value Per Share ($) = $5.15 DPS ÷ (8.0% Ke – 3.0% g) = $103.00.

What is the formula for calculating stock in Excel? ›

Stock Level: =[@[INITIAL STOCK]]+[@INCOMINGS]=[@OUTGOINGS] Excel can combine the formulas you have already into a new formula so you can see what your current stock level is based on the incomings and outgoings.

How do you use the dividend growth model to value stocks? ›

The model forecasts future dividends based on the current amount and a growth rate, then discounts each dividend back to the present day. The sum total is an estimate of the stock's value. The future dividends are discounted back to the present to determine their present value.

How do you calculate stock value? ›

The most common way to value a stock is to compute the company's price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio. The P/E ratio equals the company's stock price divided by its most recently reported earnings per share (EPS). A low P/E ratio implies that an investor buying the stock is receiving an attractive amount of value.

What is the formula for calculating stock growth? ›

To calculate the percentage gain or loss of an investment, work out the difference between the purchase price and selling price, then take the gain or loss from the investment and divide it by the initial purchase price. Finally, multiply that figure by 100 to determine the investment's percentage change.

What is the Gordon Growth Model of stocks? ›

The Gordon growth model values a company's stock using an assumption of constant growth in dividend payments that a company makes to its common equity shareholders. The GGM assumes that a company exists forever and pays dividends per share that increase at a constant rate.

What is the Gordon Growth Model most appropriate for valuing? ›

The Gordon Growth Model works best on companies that pay a steadily growing dividend and that an investor intends to hold for the long term. The three key inputs to the model are current dividend per share, average growth in dividend per share, and the required rate of return (i.e., the cost of equity capital).

How do you calculate WACC using Gordon Growth Model? ›

1. WACC is the product of the weight of equity and the cost of equity plus the product of the weight of debt, cost of debt, and (1-tax). 2. Gordon's Dividend Growth model is a way to value the firm by equating the value of the firm to the dividend next year divided by the (WACC-growth rate).

How do you create a stock value in Excel? ›

To create a table, go to Insert > Table. With the cells still selected, go to the Data tab, and then click either Stocks or Geography. Select one or more cells with the data type, and the Insert Data button will appear. Click that button, and then click a field name to extract more information.

How do you calculate average stock price in Excel? ›

One can get the average trade price by summing the prices of all transactions made during a given time frame and dividing the result by the total number of trades. The average trade price on a few trades will be determined using this procedure. Next, press Enter.

How to calculate growth rate in Gordon model? ›

The Gordon Growth Model equation is: P = D1/(R-g) where P is the stock price, D1 is the dividend per share for the next year, R is the required rate of return, and g is the dividend growth rate.

How to calculate the value of a stock with dividends? ›

In general, the formula for valuing a stock using the dividend discount model can be expressed below.
  1. DDM Formula:
  2. The Value of the Stock = (Expected Dividend per Share) / (Cost of Capital Equity – Dividend Growth Rate)
  3. OR.
  4. DDM stock valuation = CF / (r – g)
  5. $1.50 / (0.06 – 0.04) = $75 per share.
Jul 19, 2023

What is the formula for valuing a share with a growing dividend? ›

The dividend growth model is a method used to estimate the value of a company's stock. The DGM formula is: P = D ( k − g )

How is stock price calculated? ›

Supply and demand is a key factor in determining stock prices. “The price of a stock is determined by how many people want the stock and how much of it there is,” explained William Haight, a director at Capital Choice Financial Group in Phoenix. “If more people want to buy a stock, then the price will go up.

How do you calculate stock purchase price? ›

Understanding Purchase Price

To determine the cost basis of the purchases, the investor needs to calculate the weighted average cost, which is the total dollar amount of the purchases divided by the number of shares purchased.

How to calculate the intrinsic value of a stock like Benjamin Graham? ›

These are used to estimate the actual value of a stock. The Graham Formula: The intrinsic value calculation follows the formula – Value = EPS x (8.5 + 2g). Here, 8.5 represents the price-to-earnings ratio for a zero-growth firm, while '2g' accounts for the expected growth.

How does Warren Buffett calculate the intrinsic value of a stock? ›

Buffett uses a discounted cash flow model to estimate intrinsic value and identify undervalued stocks. The model discounts projections of future free cash flows and a conservative terminal value. A discount rate based on the Treasury yield plus an equity risk premium is applied.

Top Articles
Latest Posts
Article information

Author: Kelle Weber

Last Updated:

Views: 6316

Rating: 4.2 / 5 (73 voted)

Reviews: 88% of readers found this page helpful

Author information

Name: Kelle Weber

Birthday: 2000-08-05

Address: 6796 Juan Square, Markfort, MN 58988

Phone: +8215934114615

Job: Hospitality Director

Hobby: tabletop games, Foreign language learning, Leather crafting, Horseback riding, Swimming, Knapping, Handball

Introduction: My name is Kelle Weber, I am a magnificent, enchanting, fair, joyous, light, determined, joyous person who loves writing and wants to share my knowledge and understanding with you.