'Buffett really was not a great stock picker': Financial researcher Larry Swedroe on how investors can emulate the billionaire investor (2024)

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Larry Swedroe, who is considered one of the market's most esteemed researchers, thinks Warren Buffett's investment style doesn't work well anymore.

He cites the number of professional Wall Street firms and hedge funds now participating in the market.

"Warren Buffett was generally considered the greatest stock picker of all time. And, what we have learned in the academic research is Warren Buffett really was not a great stock picker at all," Swedroe told CNBC's "ETF Edge" this week. "What Warren Buffett's 'secret sauce' was, he figured out 50, 60 years before all the academics what these factors were that allowed you to earn excess returns."

Swedroe indicated index funds can help investors trying to mimic Buffett's performance.

"[Investor] Cliff Asness and the team at AQR did some great research and showed that what you accounted for the leverage Buffett applied through his reinsurance company. If you bought an index of stocks that had these same characteristics, you would have matched Buffett's returns virtually," said Swedroe. "Now today, every investor can own through ETFs or mutual funds the same types of stocks that Buffett has bought through companies that apply this academic research — companies like Dimensional, AQR, Bridgeway, BlackRock, Alpha Architect and a few others."

Swedroe is the author and co-author of almost 20 books — including "Enrich Your Future - The Keys to Successful Investing" released in February.

In an email to CNBC, he called it "a collection of stories and analogies ... that help investors understand how markets really work, how prices are set, why it is so hard to persistently outperform through active management [stock picking and market timing,] and how human nature leads us to make investment mistakes [and how to avoid them]."

During his "ETF Edge" interview,' Swedroe added investors can also benefit from momentum trading. He contends market timing and stock picking often don't factor into long-term success.

"Momentum certainly is a factor that has worked over the long term, although it does go through some long periods like everything else will underperform. But momentum does work," said Swedroe, who's also the head of economic and financial research at Buckingham Wealth Partners. "It's purely systematic. Computers can run it, you don't need to pay big fees and you can access it with cheap momentum."

In his latest book, Swedroelikens the stock market to sports betting and active managers to bookies. He suggests more investors "play" —or invest — the more likely they are to underperform.

"Wall Street needs you to trade a lot so they can make a lot of money on bid offer spreads. Active managers make more money by getting you to believe that they're likely to outperform," said Swedroe. "It's virtually impossible mathematically for that to happen because they just have higher expenses including higher taxes. They just need you to play, and so, you know, that's why they tell you active management's a winner's game."

'Dumb retail money'

He sees active management getting more efficient in pulling in emotional investors – which he calls "dumb retail money."

"[Emotional investors] do so poorly [that] they underperform the very funds they invest in because they get stock picking wrong and market timing wrong," Swedroe said.

'Buffett really was not a great stock picker': Financial researcher Larry Swedroe on how investors can emulate the billionaire investor (2024)

FAQs

Was the intelligent investor recommended by Warren Buffett? ›

If Warren Buffett says the rules are worth following, they probably are. Benjamin Graham is the father of long term value investing. The man that Warren Buffet learned from. It's worth reading as much as possible if you want to be a successful value investor and this book should be high up on your list.

How did Warren Buffett get money to invest? ›

In high school, he invested in a business owned by his father and bought a 40-acre farm worked by a tenant farmer. He bought the land when he was 14 years old with $1,200 of his savings. By the time he finished college, Buffett had amassed $9,800 in savings (about $125,000 today).

How does Warren Buffett choose investments? ›

Beyond his value-oriented style, Buffett is also known as a buy-and-hold investor. He is not interested in selling stock in the near term to reap quick profits, but chooses stocks that he believes offer solid prospects for long-term growth. His record as an investor speaks for itself. Bloomberg.

What makes Warren Buffett different from other investors? ›

Patience and Long-Term Focus

Buffett is known for his unwavering patience. He doesn't jump in and out of investments. Instead, he chooses stocks based on their long-term potential and often holds them for decades.

How much IQ does Warren Buffett have? ›

Warren Buffett reportedly has an IQ of over 150 (anything past 140 is considered a genius), and while it has, no doubt, helped him become one of the world's richest men, the lesson here is to value emotional intelligence (EQ) just as highly.

How high is Warren Buffett IQ? ›

His IQ is clearly >> 145 and possibly as high as 160 or so. Warren Buffett graduated high school at 16 ranked in the top 5 percent of his class despite devoting substantial effort to entrepreneurial activities. Most people who know him well refer to him as brilliant, that folksy quote above notwithstanding.

Where does Warren Buffett keep his cash? ›

What Berkshire is currently doing with its cash hoard. In the near term, Buffett appears content with holding the majority of Berkshire's cash in Treasury bills -- a short-term security backed by the U.S. Treasury Department with a maturity of one year or less.

What is Warren Buffett's number one rule? ›

Buffett is seen by some as the best stock-picker in history and his investment philosophies have influenced countless other investors. One of his most famous sayings is "Rule No. 1: Never lose money.

How much money does Warren Buffett have in cash? ›

Simplicity has been at the center of Buffett's strategy for decades. With Berkshire holding a record $168 billion of cash and short-term investments on its balance sheet, investors must surely be wondering what Buffett is thinking. I'd say he just told us, and I think it makes a lot of sense.

What is Warren Buffett's 90/10 rule? ›

Warren Buffet's 2013 letter explains the 90/10 rule—put 90% of assets in S&P 500 index funds and the other 10% in short-term government bonds.

How many hours a day does Warren Buffett read? ›

Indeed, the Oracle of Omaha has said that he spends “five or six hours a day” reading books and newspapers. And while it may be difficult to set aside nearly a full work day's worth of hours to read, it recently got a little bit easier to consume information like Warren Buffett.

What did Warren Buffett tell his wife to invest in? ›

“One bequest provides that cash will be delivered to a trustee for my wife's benefit,” he wrote. “My advice to the trustee could not be more simple: Put 10% of the cash in short-term government bonds and 90% in a very low-cost S&P 500 index fund.” Buffett recommended using Vanguard's S&P 500 index fund.

How old was Warren Buffett when he became a billionaire? ›

By his mid-40s, Buffett faced financial challenges, with his net worth dropping to $19 million at age 44. However, his resilience and investment acumen allowed him to recover, increasing his net worth to $67 million by age 47. In 1986, at age 56, Buffett's net worth had grown to the point where he became a billionaire.

What are Warren Buffett's 5 rules of investing? ›

Here's Buffett's take on the five basic rules of investing.
  • Never lose money. ...
  • Never invest in businesses you cannot understand. ...
  • Our favorite holding period is forever. ...
  • Never invest with borrowed money. ...
  • Be fearful when others are greedy.
Jan 11, 2023

What does Warren Buffett do with his money? ›

Buffett is a true value investor, buying underpriced but solid companies and holding them for the long term. Buffett always has been a philanthropist and has pledged the vast amount of his personal fortune of more than $100 billion to the Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation upon his death.

Is The Intelligent Investor outdated? ›

Is The Intelligent Investor Outdated? Even though this book is over 70 years old, it is still relevant. The advice to buy with a margin of safety is just as sound today as it was when Graham was first teaching his philosophy.

Is The Intelligent Investor still worth reading? ›

Is The Intelligent Investor Still Relevant Today? Yes, The Intelligent Investor by Benjamin Graham is still considered a classic and relevant book on investing.

Is The Intelligent Investor still a good read? ›

Most readers will recognize The Intelligent Investor as the book Warren Buffett recommends to value investors. It was written by Buffett's mentor, Benjamin Graham, in 1949. It also remains one of the most acclaimed investing books to this day, teaching investors how to construct a portfolio while minimizing risk.

What chapters of Intelligent Investor are important to Warren Buffett? ›

Chapter 8 of The Intelligent Investor delves into market fluctuations and the investor's response to them, while Chapter 20 of Ben Graham's classic introduces the indispensable concept of the 'margin of safety. ' Both chapters, according to Buffett, are fundamental to understanding Graham's approach to investing.

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